Thursday, November 10, 2011

Stormy weather ahead

This NOAA image shows us the Alaska storm about 20 hours ago.  Its ferocity can act as a reminder for those of us in the lower United States to start now to prepare for what Mother Nature will throw at us this winter.

Is your emergency kit refilled from the last time you used it?  Is your emergency plan known to other members of your family?  What else might be sensible to do to get ready for a harsh winter?

The forecast from ExactaWeather reads like this:

The latest National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) update suggests neutral conditions ahead, but...It is likely that La Niña will return more frequently during this time period...

Low solar activity is also a primary driver of atmospheric cycles that influence blocking activity patterns/ridges.  Our weather models consider all of these factors and are currently showing a particularly harsh winter for many parts of the US during 2011-2012. Large parts of Central and North America will face below average temperatures with above average snowfall throughout this winter, with temperatures in many Eastern and Western parts also showing as below average with above average snowfall amounts.

We expect the Pacific Northwest region to experience a very severe winter and the Cascades snowpack is likely to see increased levels due to the negative (cold) phase of PDO. Our weather models are also showing an increased likelihood for major snow events in Northeastern and Midwestern parts of the US throughout December 2011 and January 2012, that could see severe blizzard conditions hit New York City and Chicago.

With low solar activity levels...and the general trend for a much colder winter after the onset of last year’s La Niña, this winter could prove to be a record breaker with extremely cold temperatures and exceptional levels of snow for many parts of the US.

 Many residents of Connecticut are still without power after the early winter East Coast storm.  You can't assume that grocery stores or gas stations or ATMs will be working after large storms or other catastrophic events like hurricanes or earthquakes.   Even though it may have to be modified as events unfold, having a well-organized plan and supplies is always better than being unprepared.

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